Spatial relationship between Aedes aegypti (Linnaeus, 1762) and dengue disease in Guatemala
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54495/Rev.Cientifica.v28i2.50Keywords:
Dengue, Aedes aegypti, distribution, incidence, GuatemalaAbstract
The Aedes aegypti mosquito, the main transmitter of dengue disease in the Americas, has been responsible for more than 50,000 cases of dengue in Guatemala between the years 2010 and 2017. Two generalized linear models were develop in order to establish the potential distribution area of A. aegypti in Guatemala based on climatic data, defining the spatial relationship of dengue cases
with the probability of the vector´s presence and focusing on the potential transmission points of dengue in country. Vector distribution model was fed with data from the Global GBIF network, and the model of the relationship between the vector and the incidence of cases was also fed with data from the Sistema Gerencial de Salud (SIGSA). Climate variables from WorldClim- Global Climate Data (1950-2000) were used for both models. The logarithms were calculated and evaluated in the statistical platform R and plotted in the Quantum Geographic Information System. The results show a high probability (.75-1.00) of occurrences of the vector in any region in 21 of the 22 departments, being Totonicapán the exception. The main variables that are related to the presence of the vector are precipitation and humidity. It is also shown that in the northern region of the country, the incidence of cases is not related to the potential distribution of A. aegypti, which indicates possible evidence of presence of Aedes albopictus
as possible responsible for the transmission of this arbovirosis. Five focal regions with a higher risk of dengue transmission was obtained, which can be used as backup for the selection of sentinel sites used for the control of this vector.
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